SportsByte predicts the 2025 Motogp grid
This year’s MotoGP silly season seems to have arrived earlier than ever with deals for 2025 already being done. So here’s what SportsByte thinks the 2025 grid will look like.
Ducati
Prediction: Pecco Bagnaia & Jorge Martin
Ducati have already got their two-time world champion rider Pecco Bagnaia locked down till 2026. However, the second factory bike is still very much up for grabs. It is currently seen to be between current rider Enea Bastianini and Pramac rider Jorge Martin who was the runner up last year. However until the most recent race in Austin, it was seen to be a straightforward results-based decision. However, Jorge Martin is now being quoted as saying “I think I won’t stay here” in the weekend press conferences. It seems that he will be a confirmed rider before the late season Asian leg as Ducati won’t want to risk losing one of its stars to a rival like Aprilia.
Prima Pramac Racing
Prediction: Fermin Aldeguer & Marc Marquez
With us already predicting Martin off to the factory Ducati team, he will likely be replaced by already centrally Ducati-contracted Moto2 star Fermin Aldeguer. However, the second seat is again up for grabs as with Marc Marquez only on a one-year deal on a year-old Ducati at Gresini. This could mean Ducati may be tempted by the commercial value of swapping current rider Franco Morbidelli for Marc Marquez as well as ensuring Marc is on current spec machinery.
Gresini Racing
Prediction: Enea Bastianini & Alonso Lopez
We predict Gresini will have a whole new lineup for 2025 as Enea Bastianini will return to the team he impressed for back in 2022 and should impress again after being dumped to ensure that Martin stays within the Ducati fold. Current rider Alex Marquez will be out of the sport for 2025 in our minds as he has struggled to consistently deliver podiums and only has scored the occasional race win over the few seasons he has been at Gresini. Replacing him would be current Moto2 high flyer and title contender Alonso Lopez who is currently racing for Boscoscuro SpeedUp.
Pertamina Enduro VR46
Prediction: Marco Bezzecchi & Fabio Di Giannantonio
VR46 would stay the same we think as with Aldeguer going to Pramac there is no real need to swap riders when you already have two talented riders who can fight on their day as seen with Marco Bezzecchi finishing 3rd in the world last year and Fabio Di Giannantonio winning in Qatar last season too.
KTM
Prediction: Brad Binder & Pedro Acosta
Brad Binder is contracted until 2026. So while that ride is sorted, it is clear 19-year old wonderkid Pedro Acosta will be given a long term contract and put on the factory bike in the place of what we think will be a GasGas Tech3 bound Jack Miller who has been a bit off so far this season. The reason for KTM changing Acosta from its factory customer team GasGas Tech3 isn’t for sporting reasons as the bike will be the same spec. It’s purely to ensure in works team colours and is locked down as otherwise the other manufacturers would be fighting for his signature.
Red Bull GasGas Tech3
Prediction: Augusto Fernandez & Jack Miller
We think Augusto Fernandez will get an extra year at GasGas purely because there isn’t anyone in Moto2 who is seen as ready for KTM to promote as a part of their pool of talent. Miller will move down to GasGas too as while still good enough he could be seen as a mentor to Augusto and any potential future talent.
Yamaha
Prediction: Fabio Quatararo & Alex Rins
As Yamaha look to rebuild a program that was seen as teetering on the edge of being ended a few years ago. We think they will keep Rins as well as Fabio Quatararo who has signed until 2026 on a $12 million-a-year deal.
Aprilia
Prediction: Maverick Vinlales & Miguel Olivira
Aprilia are a tricky one as at the start of the year it looked likely they would have an all new lineup for 2025 with Maverick Vinlales being moved on and Aleix Espargaro retiring. However this now looks rather different as rumoured target Fabio Quatararo has now signed for Yamaha for two more years and Vinlales has had his best ever start to a season. It is very likely Esparagro will call time on his rather average career in MotoGP. So when it comes to their lineup. We think Vinlales will stay and Esparagro will be replaced by current trackhouse rider Miguel Olivera who has shown that he can be consistent with the machinery he is given.
Trackhouse Racing
Prediction: Raul Fernandez & Joe Roberts
New Aprilia customers Trackhouse racing would normally be expected to keep their line-up the same for the first two years of existence and it was going to be predicted that way. However post COTA various other outlets such as MCN have reported that with the team being American and the new Motogp owners Liberty media being also American. If Moto2 American star Joe Roberts keep his current solid results at the same level as his P2 at COTA he could be offered the seat in order to help boost American interests. Partnering Roberts most likely will be the Solid and safe choice of current rider Raul Fernandez.
Repsol Honda Racing
Prediction: Luca Marini & Iker Lecouna
With Luca Marini being contracted till next year there is only one ride available at Honda for next year and we think current rider Joan Mir will be off to World Superbikes after two horrible years on what is argably the worst bike on the grid. This would be a swap deal between the factory GP and SBK teams as current SBK rider Iker Lecouna would replace him.
LCR Honda Castrol/Idemitsu
Johann Zarco & Ai Ogura
With Johann Zarco staying for 2025 already. Eyes remain on the Idemitsu side of the LCR project, If they stay with Honda and don’t switch to Yamaha we could see Taka Nakagami going to either EWC (endurance racing) or Superbikes next year. Replacing him however they will in our minds at least end up calling on their Moto2 junior and current MT helmets rider Ai Ogura for role who will be hungry enough to want the ride but hopefully patient enough with the Honda programme which is currently in a rebuilding phase.